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January 24, 2014

Bank of Greece: Current account surplus - 1.5bln euros for Jan-Nov

Greece's current account balance displayed a surplus of 1.5 billion euros in the January-November period in 2013, against a deficit of 4.1 billion euros in the same period in 2012, the Bank of Greece said on Friday. In a monthly report, the bank noted that this development was attributed, primarily, to a significant decline in the trade deficit (down by 2.7 billion) and, secondly to increases in the current transfers and services surpluses (up by 2.5 billion and 1.5 billion, respectively). By contrast, the income account deficit grew.

More precisely, the contraction of the trade deficit is largely attributable to a considerably reduced import bill (by 5.4%) for all products and, secondarily, to a 3.3% rise in export receipts. Apart from oil product exports, which account for the bulk of this increase, the contribution of the sectors of foods and beverages and non-metallic mineral products was also significant. The decline in the import bill resulted mainly from lower oil imports.

An increase in the services surplus is mainly due to higher net travel receipts and the improved "other" services balance, which offset a contraction in net transport receipts. In more detail, travel spending in Greece by non-residents grew by 14.9% year-on-year. At the same time, travel spending by residents abroad remained almost flat.

The income account deficit rose by 1.1 billion year-on-year, mainly due to higher net interest, dividend and profit payments.

Finally, the current transfers balance showed a surplus of 3.9 billion, up by 2.5 billion year-on-year. This development is mainly due to higher general government net transfer receipts (mainly from the EU).

The current account balance showed a deficit of 744 million euros in November, down by 9 million year-on-year, mainly on account of an improvement in the current transfers balance, which recorded a surplus against a deficit in November 2012. The trade and services balances also improved, albeit to a lesser extent, while the income account balance showed a deficit, against a surplus year-on-year.

The trade deficit fell by a mere 9 million, owing to the lower net oil import bill, which was the second most significant positive development in November after the rise in current transfers. By contrast, the non-oil trade deficit increased, as a result of a decline in export receipts concurrent with a rise in the import bill.

The improvement in the services balance is attributable to higher net (mainly transport) receipts, while non-residents' travel spending in Greece appears somewhat reduced, despite a 10.8% increase in tourist arrivals year-on-year. It should be noted that cruise receipts are excluded from travel spending, as they have already been included in the November 2012 data.

In the January-November 2013 period, non-residents' direct investment in Greece showed a net inflow of 747 million, whereas residents' direct investment abroad showed a net inflow (disinvestment) of 578 million.

Under portfolio investment, a net outflow of 5.7 billion euros was recorded (compared with a net outflow of 74.3 billion in the same period of 2012), primarily due to a drop in non-residents' holdings of Greek government bonds and Treasury bills. This was partly offset by inflows due to non-residents' purchases of shares of Greek firms and a decline in residents' investment in foreign bonds, Treasury bills and shares.

Under "other" investment, a net inflow of 531 million was recorded (compared with a net inflow of 77.3 billion in the same period of 2012). This is chiefly attributable to a 27.1 billion increase in the outstanding debt of the public and the private sector to non-residents (as a result of a 29.95 billion net increase in the outstanding debt of the public), as well as to a 16.6 billion decline in resident institutional investors' deposit and repo holdings abroad (inflows). These developments were partly offset by a 42.1 billion decrease in non-residents' deposit and repo holdings in Greece (outflow).

At end-November 2013, Greece's reserve assets stood at 4.3 billion euros, compared with 6.0 billion at end-November 2012. (AMNA)